Sensei’s receipts · aggregate · public
Most AI tools give confident answers with no record of what they said last week. Sensei keeps the ledger. When a prediction lands, it’s marked correct. When it doesn’t, it’s marked incorrect. The number above updates as reality catches up.
A raw “percent correct” rewards bravado — you can juice it by only betting on sure things. Calibration is the harder, fairer test: when Sensei says it’s highly confident, does it land more often than when it hedges? The closer the points sit to the dotted line, the more Sensei’s confidence means exactly what it says.
5 of 88 predictions have resolved so far. That’s not yet enough to claim a calibrated track record — so we don’t. The bands fill in and the curve hardens as reality catches up. No fabricated S-curve in the meantime.
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“Bloomest's content score will increase by +5 or more within 90 days, driven by feedback and insights gained from their direct engagement with postpartum doulas and lactation consultants leading to content refinement.”
“Bloomest's strategy score will increase by +5 or more within 90 days, reflecting progress in establishing and validating a B2B2C distribution channel through postpartum doulas and lactation consultants.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“Seeking Alpha will announce or heavily promote an enhancement to their 'Quant Ratings' or 'Factor Grades' to include more granular, AI-driven fundamental analysis, specifically highlighting insights into 'competitive moats' or long-term strategic advantages.”
“The product's 'compete' score will increase by +5 or more, reaching at least 65.”
“Slidr's 'compete' score will increase by +5 or more within 90 days.”
“Slidr's 'audit' score will increase by +5 or more within 90 days.”
“Within 90 days, Manifold Markets will announce or begin piloting a feature allowing for private or group-restricted prediction markets, in response to Called It.'s planned Pro tier offering which includes private predictions.”
“Called It.'s 'strategy' score will increase by +5 or more within 90 days, driven by the successful implementation of its Pro tier monetization path.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“Meerkat's 'compete' score will increase by +5 or more within 90 days, following community engagement and feedback generated from posting the free 'Roast' tool in r/LocalLLaMA.”
“Meerkat's 'validate' score will increase by +5 or more within 30 days, driven by the implementation of a clearer buyer statement under the H1 on getmeerkat.dev.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
“With focused work on clarity and differentiation, you can hit 70+ within 60 days.”
Showing the most recent 50 of 88 predictions.
“Your competitor will raise within the next two quarters.”
A claim about a specific move, a specific window. No hedging.
Reality runs. Sensei watches funding, score deltas, competitor moves.
Reconciliation is automatic. No one can shop for the verdict.
Correct, incorrect, or still pending.
Every outcome shows on the ledger above. No editing. No hiding.
Any advisor who won’t keep a ledger is selling confidence, not counsel.